Birth Dearth

Another fearless prediction—we will see a dramatic drop in births (along with a rise in deaths).

The light-hearted speculation is that all of this tight staying at home will bring a birth boom in December. Do not bet on it. In fact, bet against it.

Times such as this have a profoundly unsettling effect on livelihoods, and this economic uncertainty quickly shows up in fertility decisions.

The U.S. is already close to replacement fertility–this will drop it in a dramatic fashion. Demographic restructuring is now underway.

Dr. Daniel Bromley can be contact at dbromley@wisc.edu.